Contents

The fertility decline

Choosing to Grow

Renewal is a shared direction pursued through different responsibilities and limited powers

A couple may be the only people who can decide whether to welcome another child. Other people have already helped shape the decision: the employer who sets the schedule, the city that permits or prevents a nearby home, the grandparents who move closer or farther away, the neighbors who become friends or remain strangers, and the government that decides how much of care belongs to a household alone.

No one of them controls the fertility rate. Each holds some part of the world in which a family forms.

That is where the book’s longest horizon returns to the present. The path toward another world begins in a civilization able to make and keep promises here. The choice between contraction and renewal will not be made once, by one legislature or one generation. It will emerge from decisions made by people with unequal powers and different duties.

Much of the next few decades is already set. The missing cohorts cannot be restored as adults, and a child born into recovery will need years of care before she adds to public capacity. A decent society must adapt to the older world arriving now. It should do so without arranging every institution around the expectation that the next generation will be smaller again.

The direction should be renewal. That means using each kind of authority for the work proper to it: form relationships capable of durable commitment; make wanted children attainable; protect pregnancy, birth, recovery, and family time; rebuild nearby institutions; honor motherhood, fatherhood, care, sacrifice, and larger families; align work, housing, education, health care, markets, and policy with family formation; build abundance and civilizational capacity; and preserve the path from this home toward others.

None of those tasks is sufficient alone. Together they describe what it would mean to choose growth: not one rate or program, but a human future in which another generation can be born, received, formed, and given more room to build than the generation before it found.