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The civilizational stakes

  1. The most meaningful goal is not simply to maximize the number of births.
  2. A successful society should help people form the families they want while ensuring that those who do not become parents can live secure and meaningful lives.
  3. It should distribute the costs of care fairly, protect the autonomy of individuals, and preserve opportunities for younger and older generations alike.
  4. But it should also recognize that human civilization is a generational project. Its knowledge, institutions, technologies, and aspirations must be renewed by people who do not yet exist.
  5. If low fertility becomes global and persistent, the risk is not only slower economic growth or greater pressure on public budgets. The deeper risk is that humanity loses the demographic, intellectual, and institutional capacity to remain resilient on Earth and to expand beyond it.